Rochdale

3 - 0

Newport

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.