League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 4
Harrogate

Ball (7')
Brierley (37'), Odoh (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Thomson (14'), Armstrong (53', 58'), Folarin (70')
Ferguson (45')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Harrogate Town

In their last encounter in League Two, the two sides played out a thrilling 3-3 draw, however, we fancy the home side to take all three points here. Harrogate Town are without an away win for the past seven league games coming into this one, while the Dale have only conceded three goals in their past three matches on their own turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Harrogate Town
47.43% ( -0.36)	26.37% ( 0.22)	26.19% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82% (

-0.74)

55.18% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58% (

-0.61)

76.42% (

0.61)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

-0.49)

23.27% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

-0.71)

57.2% (

0.71)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.61% (

-0.29)

36.39% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83% (

-0.29)

73.17% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 47.43%

Harrogate Town 26.19%

Draw 26.37%

Rochdale	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.43%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.19%