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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Leyton Orient |
51.69% ( -0.04) | 26.44% ( -0.02) | 21.87% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.43% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.28% ( 0.1) | 58.72% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.75% ( 0.08) | 79.25% ( -0.08) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.14% ( 0.02) | 22.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.4% ( 0.04) | 56.6% ( -0.04) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.59% ( 0.12) | 42.41% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.21% ( 0.1) | 78.79% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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