Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.