MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:32:32| >> :600:263731:263731:
Bristol Rovers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bristol Rovers
4 - 1
Cheltenham

Gibbons (9'), Evans (27'), Collins (40'), Street (68' og.)
McCormick (48')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gibbons (50' og.)
Adshead (63'), Willcox (72'), Chapman (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cheltenham Town

 The visitors have been very poor this season, and their lack of attacking strength has been evident up to this point. While the hosts have not been incredible themselves, they have found the net more often than not this season, and we fancy them to edge this one by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
41.04% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 24.92% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.99% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)25.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)60.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 41.04%
    Cheltenham Town 34.04%
    Draw 24.91%
Bristol RoversDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.04%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham

Bristol Rovers
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Cheltenham
Collins (25'), Coburn (39')
May (48')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Cheltenham
1-4
Bristol Rovers
Sercombe (54' pen.)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Cheltenham
Nicholson (61'), Saunders (70')
> Preview
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Cheltenham

Baldwin (88')
May (58'), Vassell (71')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Cheltenham
Smith (38', 49'), Clarke-Harris (67')

Thomas (45')
rhs 2.0
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