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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Lincoln City

Crawley
3 - 0
Lincoln

Swan (46'), Darcy (73'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+5')
Ibrahim (43'), Holohan (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrandles (45+2'), O'Connor (81'), Roughan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Lincoln City

Lincoln City have been one of the most improved sides in the league this season, and while they were beaten fairly comfortably by the Blues last time out, we feel they will bounce back with a solid performance in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawLincoln City
24.47% (1.986 1.99) 22.68% (0.996 1) 52.85% (-2.976 -2.98)
Both teams to score 58.89% (-0.993 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (-2.44 -2.44)41.11% (2.445 2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (-2.528 -2.53)63.51% (2.534 2.53)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.316 0.32)30.23% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (0.375 0.38)66.4% (-0.369 -0.37)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (-1.809 -1.81)15.6% (1.814 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (-3.474 -3.47)44.58% (3.48 3.48)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 24.47%
    Lincoln City 52.85%
    Draw 22.68%
Crawley TownDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 6.27% (0.401 0.4)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.648 0.65)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.413 0.41)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 24.47%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.585 0.59)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.506 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.419 0.42)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.445 -0.45)
0-3 @ 5.04% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.363 -0.36)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.85%

How you voted: Crawley vs Lincoln

Crawley Town
11.8%
Draw
8.8%
Lincoln City
79.4%
34
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
0-3
Lincoln

Dallison (39')
Andrade (37'), McCartan (76'), Bolger (85')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-1
Crawley

Bostwick (75')
Frecklington (55')
Bostwick (45' og.)
N'Gala (12'), Bulman (22'), Maguire (46'), Connolly (68'), Palmer (90')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Lincoln
Smith (15'), Payne (68' pen.), Connolly (72')
Payne (48'), Roberts (68'), Yorwerth (85'), Randall (86')
Green (52')
Green (18'), Waterfall (45'), Wharton (67'), Woodyard (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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