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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Crawley Town

Northampton
3 - 0
Crawley

Fosu (16'), Williams (30' og.), Pinnock (55')
Fox (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Darcy (75'), Williams (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Crawley Town

While Crawley did impress in their recent win, Northampton are in much better form heading into this game, and with them also boasting the home advantage, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
36.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.026000000000003 0.03)46.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.88% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)25.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)59.85% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.026000000000003 0.03)58.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 36.21%
    Crawley Town 38.59%
    Draw 25.19%
Northampton TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.59%

How you voted: Northampton vs Crawley

Northampton Town
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
Crawley Town
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
2-3
Northampton
Balagizi (4', 61')
Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Northampton
0-1
Crawley

Horsfall (90+3')
Nichols (41')
Lynch (9'), Ashford (87')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
4-0
Northampton
Ferguson (27'), Lubala (62'), Palmer (80'), Bloomfield (84')

McCormack (44'), Wharton (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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