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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Crawley Town

Peterborough
4 - 3
Crawley

Jade-Jones (19'), Hayes (23', 61'), Kyprianou (47')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adeyemo (38'), Swan (52'), Showunmi (55')
Darcy (10'), Mukena (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Crawley Town

While Peterborough's defending at home has left a lot to be desired, Crawley Town have developed a streak of resilience on the road of late and have also had more time to recover from their most recent exploits. On paper, a Posh triumph might be expected, but we are struggling to back Ferguson's side with any real confidence and can instead anticipate a tense draw between the two clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.86%) and 3-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCrawley Town
54.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 20.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 24.54% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 65.56% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)32.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.02% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.07% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)37.6% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)25.43% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)60.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 54.57%
    Crawley Town 24.54%
    Draw 20.88%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 54.57%
1-1 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 24.54%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.30pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Crawley
Burrows (28'), Mason-Clark (37')
Burrows (83')
Tsaroulla (23')
Kelly (5'), Lolas (88')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Crawley
Washington (2'), Maddison (49')
Bostwick (19'), Zakuani (33'), Maddison (63')

Young (18'), Van Den Bogaert (27'), Harrold (82'), Bradley (89')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Peterborough
4-3
Crawley
Washington (43', 90'), Bostwick (51', 87')
Elliott (29'), Pogba (57'), Simpson (66')
Tomlin (95')
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-4
Peterborough
McLeod (2')
Keane (64'), Harrold (82')
Smith (11'), Burgess (40'), Maddison (55'), Washington (58')
Bostwick (14'), Newell (81')
Mar 1, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-0
Peterborough
Tubbs (86' pen.)
Sadler (42'), Tubbs (86')

Bostwick (10'), Baldwin (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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