Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 23, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Paulinho (68', 87')
Battaglia (5'), Mariano (22'), Pavon (39'), Paulinho (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Santana (51')
Heleno (53'), Pablo (70'), Terans (74'), Canobbio (86'), Madson (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Coritiba 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Athletico PR
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
64.82% ( 0)	21.56% ( -0.01)	13.62% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.2% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

0.03)

52.27% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

0.03)

73.97% (

-0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

0.01)

15.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.7% (

0.02)

44.29% (

-0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.09% (

0.02)

48.91% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.11% (

0.02)

83.89% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 64.81%

Athletico Paranaense 13.62%

Draw 21.56%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 64.81%	1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.68% Total : 13.62%