MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:16:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Flamengo

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Flamengo

Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Erick (64'), Fernandinho (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barbosa (15' pen.)
Barbosa (32'), Pulgar (74')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
36.91% (0.434 0.43) 26.34% (-0.105 -0.11) 36.75% (-0.324 -0.32)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.38% (0.454 0.45)51.61% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (0.393 0.39)73.4% (-0.389 -0.39)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.46900000000001 0.47)27.08% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (0.607 0.61)62.46% (-0.603 -0.6)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.027999999999992 0.03)27.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (0.034999999999997 0.03)62.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 36.91%
    Flamengo 36.75%
    Draw 26.33%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.91%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.75%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
Aug 18, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-1
Flamengo

Terans (23'), Fernandinho (78'), Moura (79'), Henrique (90+2')
Pedro (57')
Gomes (29')
Aug 14, 2022 8pm
gameweek 22
Flamengo
5-0
Athletico PR
Bruno (56', 59'), Lucas (63'), Lazaro (72'), Pedro (90+2')
Pablo (43'), Souza (44'), Maia (49')

Bueno (54'), Santana (66')
Jul 28, 2022 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
0-0
Athletico PR

Barbosa (41'), Maia (87'), De Arrascaeta (90+1'), Pereira (90+6')
Luiz (90+7')

Bento (23'), Erick (38'), Fernandinho (41'), Cittadini (86'), Felipe (90+6')
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 3
Athletico PR
1-0
Flamengo
Terans (32' pen.)
Felipe (41'), Manuel Orejuela (49'), Christian (85'), Halter (87')

Pablo (55'), Marinho (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!