Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Flamengo2 - 0Nublense
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Nublense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nublense 0-2 Racing
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Nublense |
74.47% ( 1.06) | 16.44% ( -0.47) | 9.08% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 44.33% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.73% ( 0.27) | 42.26% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.33% ( 0.27) | 64.67% ( -0.27) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.23% ( 0.33) | 9.76% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.52% ( 0.77) | 32.47% ( -0.77) |
Nublense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.12% ( -1.08) | 50.87% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.74% ( -0.74) | 85.25% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Flamengo 74.46%
Nublense 9.08%
Draw 16.44%
Flamengo | Draw | Nublense |
2-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 74.46% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.59% Total : 16.44% | 0-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.96% Total : 9.08% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 05:27:11
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | France | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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