CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg

Feb 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Municipal Ruminahui

Independiente
1 - 0
Flamengo

(agg: -)

Carabajal (69')
Faravelli (37'), Ramirez (40'), Rodriguez (52'), Carabajal (77')
Ortiz (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vidal (34'), Pedro (40'), Bruno (64'), Barbosa (90+7'), Luiz (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between Independiente del Valle and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Independiente
Saturday, October 1 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana

Flamengo

All competitions

Last Game: Al Ahly 2-4 Flamengo
Saturday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Club World Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Flamengo
22.98% ( -0.3)	25.77% ( -0.01)	51.25% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 47.49% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.63% (

-0.21)

55.37% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.43% (

-0.17)

76.57% (

0.17)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.61% (

-0.4)

39.39% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91% (

-0.38)

76.09% (

0.37)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.04)

21.65% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

0.07)

54.78% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 22.98%

Flamengo 51.25%

Draw 25.76%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.98%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.25%