CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 2nd Leg

Mar 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
1 - 0
Independiente

De Arrascaeta (90+6')
Ribeiro (39'), Maia (44'), Vidal (45+1'), Varela (65'), Luiz (74'), Mateusao (114'), Gerson (127'), Barbosa (129')

FT
(aet)

Pellerano (14'), Anselmi (15'), Carabajal (45+1'), Alcivar (63'), Faravelli (90+1'), Ramirez (110')

Independiente win 5-4 on penalties

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between Flamengo and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

CONMEBOL Recopa

Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Flamengo
Wednesday, February 22 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa

Goals
for

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

CONMEBOL Recopa

Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Flamengo
Wednesday, February 22 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 77.17%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 7.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (2.91%).

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Independiente del Valle
77.17% ( 0.09)	15.02% ( -0.03)	7.81% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 43.53% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.93% (

-0.08)

40.07% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.56% (

-0.09)

62.43% (

0.09)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.41% (

8.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.34% (

29.65% (

-0)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.61% (

-0.21)

52.38% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.74% (

-0.14)

86.25% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 77.16%

Independiente del Valle 7.81%

Draw 15.02%

Flamengo	Draw	Independiente del Valle
2-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 77.16%	1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 15.02%	0-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 7.81%