Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Aucas2 - 1Flamengo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Aucas and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Independiente (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Wednesday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Aucas win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aucas | Draw | Flamengo |
21% ( -0.17) | 23.9% ( 0.12) | 55.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.82% ( -0.68) | 50.17% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.86% ( -0.6) | 72.13% ( 0.6) |
Aucas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.58% ( -0.56) | 38.41% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.83% ( -0.54) | 75.16% ( 0.54) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% ( -0.23) | 18.08% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.99% ( -0.39) | 49% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Aucas 21%
Flamengo 55.08%
Draw 23.89%
Aucas | Draw | Flamengo |
1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 21% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.08% |
How you voted: Aucas vs Flamengo
Aucas
0.0%Draw
14.3%Flamengo
85.7%7
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 05:27:11
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | France | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
1
PL return? Fulham 'eyeing' ex-Arsenal man
2
Croatia vs. Italy - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Atletico GO vs. Gremio - prediction, team news, lineups
4
Helping rivals? Arsenal set to benefit from imminent Chelsea exit
5
Albania vs. Spain - prediction, team news, lineups
6
Euro 2024 projected last 16 ties - who is on course to reach the knockouts?
7
Man United 'expected' to rival Chelsea for South American wonderkid
8
Euro 2024 today: Who is playing? How to watch? What to look out for?
9
Chelsea move closer to £5m striker transfer as clause 'triggered'
10
Will he play? Southgate reveals Shaw availability
Sport News 24/7