Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro2 - 0Alianza Lima
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, April 30 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 30 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 Alianza Lima
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.89%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Alianza Lima |
71.24% ( 0.26) | 18.35% ( -0.07) | 10.41% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 43.14% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.23) | 46.79% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( -0.22) | 69.04% ( 0.21) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.17% ( 0) | 11.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.01) | 37.07% ( -0.02) |
| Alianza Lima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.92% ( -0.52) | 51.08% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.61% ( -0.35) | 85.39% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro 71.23%
Alianza Lima 10.41%
Draw 18.35%
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Alianza Lima |
| 2-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 71.23% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.35% | 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.41% |
Form Guide
