Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Libertad1 - 2Alianza Lima
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Libertad
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Alianza Lima |
59.51% ( -0.02) | 23.37% ( 0.02) | 17.11% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
