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Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 9, 2021 at 11pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Bahia

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Bahia


Nikao (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')

Preview: Athletico Paranaense vs. Bahia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Athletico Paranaense head into Saturday's fixture with Bahia looking to strengthen their position in the top seven of the Brasileiro standings.

In sharp contrast, Bahia are looking to move outside of the relegation zone, a task made tougher by failing to win any of their last four matches.


Match preview

Athletico Paranaense's Pedro Rocha celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 1, 2021© Reuters

Having witnessed Athletico PR's five-match winning streak ended by Flamengo in clinical fashion, Antonio Oliveira would have had concerns ahead of their following clash with Atletico Goianiense.

However, his side returned to winning ways, scoring goals either side of half time to move to within six points of second place.

David Terans continued his fine league campaign, the playmaker scoring his fifth strike to take his overall goal contributions to 12.

The Red and Black also ended a four-game wait for a clean sheet in Brazil's top flight, a necessary improvement with goal difference potentially playing its part with regards to continental qualification.

While everyone associated with Athletico PR are currently on a high, the same cannot be said of Bahia who are now struggling to survive in the top flight.

Tricolor have suffered back-to-back defeats away at Internacional and Corinthians, the five goals conceded leaving them with the joint-worst defensive record in the division.

With their last two opponents sitting in the top eight of the table, Guto Ferreira will not necessarily be feeling too despondent at this stage.

Nevertheless, with two more tough fixtures to follow the one at the weekend, Bahia are at risk of finding themselves cut adrift from 16th position unless they get back on track.

On a positive note, top goalscorer Gilberto ended his five-game wait for his ninth strike of the season in the last match.

Athletico Paranaense Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Athletico Paranaense form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Bahia Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Bahia's Luiz Otavio celebrates scoring their first goal on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Despite their victory last time out, a relentless schedule should see Oliveira make several changes to his Athletico PR starting lineup.

Nicolas is expected to replace Abner at left wing-back, while Pedro Rocha is an alternative to Terans who was substituted during the early stages of the second half three days ago.

Kayzer may get the nod in attack over Bissolo, who has failed to score in his last three starts.

Bahia will have to make do without Lucas Araujo after the midfielder was dismissed in the first half against Corinthians.

Rodriguinho could return in the centre of the pitch, while Renan Guedes may get a run out at right-back in place of veteran Nino Paraiba.

Athletico Paranaense possible starting lineup:
Santos; Ivaldo, Henrique, Fasson; Marcinho, Erick, Richard, Abner; Nikao, Terans; Kayzer

Bahia possible starting lineup:
Claus; Guedes, Henrique, Otavio, Capixaba; Danielzinho, Licca, Rodriguinho, Mugni; Anderson, Gilberto


SM words green background

We say: Athletico Paranaense 3-1 Bahia

With these two clubs seemingly on different trajectories, we can only back one winner. While the visitors may get on the scoresheet, Athletico PR should have enough quality to win relatively comfortably.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
44.4%
Draw
44.4%
Bahia
11.1%
9
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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