Athletico PR3 - 0Alianza Lima
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, June 24 at 8pm in Brasileiro
for
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Alianza Lima
Both sides are expected to be assertive in this game, but Athletico's superior technical quality and home form should give them the edge over Alianza. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 74.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Alianza Lima |
74.07% ( 0.16) | 17.4% ( -0.08) | 8.53% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 38.94% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
