MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 11:00:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Palmeiras

Athletico PR
2 - 2
Palmeiras

Bueno (67' pen.), Roque (72')
Ivaldo (4'), Bueno (74'), Roque (81'), Madson (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Endrick (22'), Menino (57')
Garcia (45+4')
Garcia (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Bolivar
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-2 Palmeiras

While Athletico have lost just once at home in the Brasileiro this year and are enjoying a fresh start under new management, it is surely unthinkable that Palmeiras could lose three straight games in the league. Indeed, the free-scoring visitors blazed their way into the Copa Libertadores knockout phase this week and could now turn the corner domestically with another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
36.57% (-0.535 -0.53) 28.94% (0.012 0.01) 34.49% (0.525 0.52)
Both teams to score 45.01% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.64% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0)81.47% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)32.22% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.389 -0.39)68.72% (0.39200000000001 0.39)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (0.355 0.36)33.59% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.385 0.38)70.23% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 36.56%
    Palmeiras 34.49%
    Draw 28.93%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.93%
0-1 @ 11.8% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
52.9%
Draw
5.9%
Palmeiras
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
Gameweek 34
Athletico PR
1-3
Palmeiras
Felipe (30')
Endrick (59', 70'), Gomez (76')
Sep 7, 2022 1.30am
Aug 31, 2022 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Athletico PR
1-0
Palmeiras
Jul 3, 2022 1am
Gameweek 15
Palmeiras
0-2
Athletico PR
Roque (36'), Bueno (58' pen.)
Mar 3, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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