Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 2Palmeiras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Alianza Lima
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-2 Palmeiras
While Athletico have lost just once at home in the Brasileiro this year and are enjoying a fresh start under new management, it is surely unthinkable that Palmeiras could lose three straight games in the league. Indeed, the free-scoring visitors blazed their way into the Copa Libertadores knockout phase this week and could now turn the corner domestically with another win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Palmeiras |
36.57% ( -0.53) | 28.94% ( 0.01) | 34.49% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
