Palmeiras looked an unstoppable force on home soil until they suffered defeat to Botafogo last weekend, and returning to winning ways is not a given for the Alviverde considering that they have already lost to Bolivar this season. Indeed, the visitors head to Brazil in buoyant mood needing just a draw to claim top spot in Group C and we believe that the Bolivian side will pick up the point they need in an entertaining contest at Allianz Parque. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Bolivar
77.46% ( 0.53)	13.84% ( -0.21)	8.7% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 52.97% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.51% (

0.01)

30.49% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.22% (

0.01)

51.78% (

-0)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.63% (

0.1)

6.37% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.1% (

0.27)

23.9% (

-0.27)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.57% (

-0.65)

43.43% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.35% (

-0.55)

79.65% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 77.46%

Bolivar 8.7%

Draw 13.84%

Palmeiras	Draw	Bolivar
2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.11% Total : 77.46%	1-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.77% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.84%	1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.76% Total : 8.7%