MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:14:41| >> :60:19:19:
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
4 - 0
Bolivar

Rony (24'), Artur (34', 85'), Piquerez (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Villamil (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Botafogo
Sunday, June 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Bolivar

All competitions
Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Palmeiras 2-2 Bolivar

 Palmeiras looked an unstoppable force on home soil until they suffered defeat to Botafogo last weekend, and returning to winning ways is not a given for the Alviverde considering that they have already lost to Bolivar this season. Indeed, the visitors head to Brazil in buoyant mood needing just a draw to claim top spot in Group C and we believe that the Bolivian side will pick up the point they need in an entertaining contest at Allianz Parque. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
77.46% (0.527 0.53) 13.84% (-0.214 -0.21) 8.7% (-0.306 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.549 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.51% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)30.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.22% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)51.78% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.63% (0.104 0.1)6.37% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.1% (0.274 0.27)23.9% (-0.268 -0.27)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (-0.646 -0.65)43.43% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (-0.546 -0.55)79.65% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 77.46%
    Bolivar 8.7%
    Draw 13.84%
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.158 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 8.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.63% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 5.53% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.65% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 3.05% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.055 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 77.46%
1-1 @ 6.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.77%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.84%
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Bolivar

Palmeiras
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
Bolivar
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-1
Palmeiras
Hervias (20'), Bejarano (45+1'), Uzeda (89')
Manuel Lopez (13')
Sep 30, 2020 11.15pm
Group Stage
Palmeiras
5-0
Bolivar
Willian (3'), Wesley (47'), Vina (59'), Veiga (61'), Rony (64')
Gomez (29')

Carlos Fernandez Toro (58')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
1-2
Palmeiras
Riquelme (67')
Willian (34' pen.), Menino (60')
Rafael (36'), Menino (44'), Henrique (72'), D (90')
rhs 2.0
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