Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras2 - 1Cerro Porteno
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Cuiaba
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
66.87% ( -0.14) | 18.94% ( 0.11) | 14.18% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.06% ( -0.45) | 39.93% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.7% ( -0.46) | 62.29% ( 0.46) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.94% ( -0.16) | 11.05% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.6% ( -0.36) | 35.39% ( 0.36) |
Cerro Porteno Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.57% ( -0.23) | 40.42% ( 0.23) |