Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Curico Unido had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Curico Unido win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.