MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 03:12:32| >> :600:392087:392087:
Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 17, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 0
Cerro Porteno


Menosse (20'), Elizalde (72'), Gargano (79')
FT

Moreno (20'), Rodriguez (64'), Aquino (67'), Benitez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Penarol and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Porteno

It should be a fascinating tactical chess match between a pair of sides who know how to defend effectively, though we are giving the edge to the Paraguayans, who have shown a little more commitment and consistency behind the ball. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawCerro Porteno
50.22% (0.16 0.16) 23.32% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 26.46% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 58.74% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (-0.28 -0.28)42.23% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (-0.281 -0.28)64.64% (0.283 0.28)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)16.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)47.02% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)29.27% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.354 -0.35)65.24% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 50.22%
    Cerro Porteno 26.46%
    Draw 23.31%
PenarolDrawCerro Porteno
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 50.22%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 26.46%

How you voted: Penarol vs Cerro Porteno

Penarol
31.8%
Draw
36.4%
Cerro Porteno
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2022 1am
Cerro Porteno
1-0
Penarol
Cardozo (45+1')
Patino (53'), Espinola (79'), Carrascal (87'), Duarte (90+3')

Musto (53'), Elizalde (64'), Viatri (71')
rhs 2.0
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