Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg

Feb 22, 2023 at 12am UK

Curico
0 - 1
Cerro Porteno

(Cerro Porteno win 2-0 on aggregate)

Barrios (61'), Leiva (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Patino (89')
Carrizo (30'), Espinola (56'), Churin (77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Curico Unido and Cerro Porteno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Curico Unido had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Curico Unido win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.

Result
Curico Unido	Draw	Cerro Porteno
31.18% ( 1.66)	27.08% ( -0.18)	41.73% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.48% (

1.24)

55.52% (

-1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3% (

1.01)

76.7% (

-1.01)

Curico Unido Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3% (

1.87)

32.69% (

-1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75% (

2.04)

69.24% (

-2.04)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.2)

26.24% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-0.27)

61.34% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Curico Unido 31.18%

Cerro Porteno 41.72%

Draw 27.08%

Curico Unido	Draw	Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.18%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.72%