Brasileiro | Gameweek 12

Jun 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
0 - 1
Botafogo

Ferreira (45+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tiquinho (28')
Tche (31'), da Silva (61'), Nascimento (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Palmeiras 2-1 Botafogo

With Palmeiras knowing they can ill-afford to allow their opponents to move eight points clear of them at the top of the table, this should be a fiercely-contested encounter between the reigning champions and the primary contenders. While form would dictate that Botafogo should be favourites to win the match, we expect the hosts' experience, quality and home support to make the difference in the end, with a narrow victory for the hosts predicted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Botafogo
68.74% ( -0.44)	19.58% ( 0.33)	11.68% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 43.55% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.35% (

-1.13)

48.65% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.23% (

-1.03)

70.76% (

1.03)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-0.46)

13.08% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.31% (

-0.95)

39.69% (

0.95)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.11% (

-0.53)

49.89% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.42% (

-0.37)

84.58% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 68.72%

Botafogo 11.68%

Draw 19.58%

Palmeiras	Draw	Botafogo
2-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.72%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.58%	0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 11.68%