Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras3 - 1Coritiba
We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Coritiba
Having failed to win any of their last three league matches, as well as coming fresh off exiting the cup, Palmeiras will be determined to avoid losing ground on Botafogo at the table's summit. As such, we expect them to have too much motivation and quality for their opponents, who will remain bottom of the table if they can not avoid defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Coritiba |
75.25% ( 0.02) | 15.72% ( -0.01) | 9.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
