Coritiba have certainly impressed since their promotion and shown themselves to be a competitive outfit, but we see them falling just short against a strong Palmeiras side who look to have hit their stride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Palmeiras
22.54% ( 0.17)	25.36% ( 0.06)	52.1% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

-0.09)

54.25% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-0.07)

75.65% (

0.07)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.81% (

0.11)

39.19% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.1% (

0.11)

75.9% (

-0.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

-0.13)

20.84% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48% (

-0.2)

53.52% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 22.54%

Palmeiras 52.09%

Draw 25.35%

Coritiba	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 22.54%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.04% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 52.09%