Despite not hitting top gear in the Brasileiro so far this season, Palmeiras should be expected to stroll to a relatively comfortable win on Saturday. Juventude may well have picked up their first win last weekend, but they will not be expected to compete with the quality of their visitors here, particularly with a number of absentees to contend with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Palmeiras
22.16% ( 0)	27.53% ( 0.03)	50.31% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.01% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.98% (

-0.09)

62.03% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.25% (

-0.07)

81.76% (

0.08)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.97% (

-0.05)

44.04% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.85% (

-0.04)

80.15% (

0.05)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

-0.05)

24.93% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

-0.08)

59.57% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Juventude 22.16%

Palmeiras 50.3%

Draw 27.52%

Juventude	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.16%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 15.24% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 50.3%