Traditionally when these teams meet, we are in for a close encounter with little separating them, and we anticipate a similar game on Thursday. At the moment, it seems as though you need to be close to perfect to defeat Palestra, who have thrived off patience and frustrating teams in their third of the field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Botafogo
64.29% ( 0.28)	20.79% ( -0.13)	14.92% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 48.68% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37% (

0.24)

46.63% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1% (

0.23)

68.9% (

-0.23)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.22% (

0.16)

13.78% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.9% (

0.32)

41.09% (

-0.32)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.46% (

-0.07)

43.54% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.26% (

-0.06)

79.74% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 64.28%

Botafogo 14.92%

Draw 20.79%

Palmeiras	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 64.28%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.79%	0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 14.92%