Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 11pm UK
General Pablo Rojas Stadium
Cerro Porteno0 - 3Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 21 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 21 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerro Porteno | Draw | Palmeiras |
23.74% ( 0.02) | 25.33% ( -0) | 50.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.55% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.92% ( 0.02) | 53.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% ( 0.02) | 74.65% ( -0.02) |
Cerro Porteno Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% ( 0.03) | 37.39% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% ( 0.03) | 74.17% ( -0.03) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( 0.01) | 20.85% ( -0) |