Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno0 - 4Bolivar
FT(HT: 0-3)
Villamil (18'), Piris (23' og.), Bejarano (25'), Rodriguez (49')
Fernandez (37'), Vaca (76'), Villarroel (83'), Justiniano (90+1')
Fernandez (37'), Vaca (76'), Villarroel (83'), Justiniano (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Bolivar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro Porteno | Draw | Bolivar |
54.54% ( -1.79) | 23.67% ( 0.33) | 21.79% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 52.25% ( 1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( 0.39) | 48.32% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.53% ( 0.35) | 70.46% ( -0.35) |
Cerro Porteno Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.4% ( -0.51) | 17.6% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.82% ( -0.89) | 48.18% ( 0.89) |
Bolivar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.42% ( 1.69) | 36.58% ( -1.69) |