Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 16, 2022 at 10.15pm UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
4 - 0
Lara

(Bolivar win 7-2 on aggregate)

Sagredo (37'), Savio (69'), Miranda (77', 82')
Sagredo (34')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Manzano (34')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Bolivar and Deportivo Lara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Deportivo Lara had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Deportivo Lara win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Deportivo Lara
49.28%	24.05%	26.66%

Both teams to score 56.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6%

45.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27%

67.73%

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49%

18.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.28%

49.72%

Deportivo Lara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22%

30.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95%

67.05%

Score Analysis

Bolivar 49.28%

Deportivo Lara 26.66%

Draw 24.05%

Bolivar	Draw	Deportivo Lara
1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.28%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.66%