Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Lara win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Lara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.