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Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 9, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano de Fútbol de Lara

Lara
2 - 3
Bolivar

Chirinos (2'), Melean (28')
Segovia (38'), Pernia (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Savio (21'), da Costa (34', 39')
da Costa (60'), Villamil (87')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Deportivo Lara and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Lara win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Lara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo LaraDrawBolivar
57.74%24.1%18.16%
Both teams to score 45.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53%54.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16%75.83%
Deportivo Lara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3%18.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94%50.06%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95%44.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84%80.16%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Lara 57.73%
    Bolivar 18.16%
    Draw 24.1%
Deportivo LaraDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 5.31%
4-0 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 0.91%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 57.73%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 4.64%
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 18.16%

How you voted: Lara vs Bolivar

Deportivo Lara
41.2%
Draw
35.3%
Bolivar
23.5%
17
rhs 2.0
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
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