MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 20:52:45| >> :60:360:360:
Bahia
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Gremio

Bahia
1 - 1
Gremio

Stum (47')
Chavez (63'), Kanu (90+8'), Kanu (90'), Mugni (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cuiabano (90+5')
Villasanti (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Bahia and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Gremio
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Gremio
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-1 Gremio

 In truth, there was little to split these two teams in the league meeting at Bahia's ground at the weekend, and we can envisage Gremio being more content to settle for a draw given that they will still have the second leg to come at Arena do Gremio next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BahiaDrawGremio
39.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (0.019000000000002 0.02)74.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.02% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)61.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 39.86%
    Gremio 33.56%
    Draw 26.56%
BahiaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Gremio
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bahia
1-2
Gremio
Kayky (20')
Acevedo (37'), Thaciano (69'), Cicinho (90+1')
Cristaldo (9'), Martins (90+5')
Pedro (32'), Portaluppi (44+44'), Kannemann (67')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Bahia (13'), Nascimento (18'), Danielzinho (85')
Rodrigoinho (32'), Paraiba (45+1'), Mugni (70')
Thiago (62')
Vanderson (36'), Cortez (47'), Kannemann (73')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 17
Gremio
2-0
Bahia
Borja (50'), Souza (90+5')
Silva (87')

Gilberto (67')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
2-1
Bahia
Vanderson (16'), Souza (54')
Henrique (51'), Vanderlei (86')
Martins (47')
Andrade (44'), Ramon (51'), Rossi (68'), Gilberto (90')
Sep 10, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Bahia
0-2
Gremio

Paraiba (26')
Gregore (78')
Alisson (25'), Mendes (54')
Mendes (17'), Henrique (49'), (70')
Henrique (64')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!