Brasileiro | Gameweek 10

Jun 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
3 - 0
Gremio

Everton (24'), Pedro (65'), Henrique (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kannemann (55'), Suarez (81'), Uvini (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gremio

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Given their plethora of fresh concerns and perennial defensive concerns on the road, no sheets should be clean on Gremio's side this week, but the in-form visitors boast the much fresher set of legs. Sampaoli is still blessed with options for change, but Flamengo's Copa Libertadores exploits will likely catch up to them, and both teams' winning streak could be brought to a halt in a tense draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Gremio
67.59% ( 1.27)	19.13% ( -0.33)	13.27% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

-1.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.08% (

-0.67)

42.92% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.68% (

-0.67)

65.32% (

0.67)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.28% (

0.15)

11.71% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.17% (

0.32)

36.83% (

-0.32)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.35% (

-1.83)

43.65% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.16% (

-1.55)

79.84% (

1.55)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 67.58%

Gremio 13.27%

Draw 19.13%

Flamengo	Draw	Gremio
2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.55% Total : 67.58%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.13%	0-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.27%