MX23RW : Saturday, June 15 04:28:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio

Flamengo
3 - 0
Gremio

Everton (24'), Pedro (65'), Henrique (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kannemann (55'), Suarez (81'), Uvini (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Gremio

Given their plethora of fresh concerns and perennial defensive concerns on the road, no sheets should be clean on Gremio's side this week, but the in-form visitors boast the much fresher set of legs. Sampaoli is still blessed with options for change, but Flamengo's Copa Libertadores exploits will likely catch up to them, and both teams' winning streak could be brought to a halt in a tense draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawGremio
67.59% (1.271 1.27) 19.13% (-0.327 -0.33) 13.27% (-0.946 -0.95)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-1.525 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (-0.673 -0.67)42.92% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (-0.671 -0.67)65.32% (0.669 0.67)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.149 0.15)11.71% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (0.319 0.32)36.83% (-0.32 -0.32)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.35% (-1.826 -1.83)43.65% (1.826 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-1.552 -1.55)79.84% (1.552 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 67.58%
    Gremio 13.27%
    Draw 19.13%
FlamengoDrawGremio
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.236 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 67.58%
1-1 @ 9.09% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.13%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Gremio

Flamengo
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Gremio
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 12am
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Flamengo
0-1
Gremio

Isla (62'), Henrique (84'), Caio (90+3')
Borja (45+3')
Borja (41'), Thiago (47'), Vanderson (70'), Ferreira (85')
Jan 28, 2021 11pm
gameweek 23
Gremio
2-4
Flamengo
Souza (40', 85')
Souza (19'), Barbosa (46'), Kannemann (71'), Henrique (87'), Pinares (90+7')
Ribeiro (57'), Barbosa (60'), De Arrascaeta (66'), Isla (90+3')
Henrique (26'), Henrique (55'), Vitinho (90+7')
Aug 19, 2020 11.15pm
gameweek 4
Flamengo
1-1
Gremio
Barbosa (89' pen.)
Luis (34'), Barbosa (34'), Lucas (52')
Pepe (45')
Souza (7'), Kannemann (86'), Geromel (87')
Nov 17, 2019 7pm
gameweek 33
Gremio
0-1
Flamengo

Alisson (79')
Barbosa (37' pen.)
Piris (30'), Rodinei (65'), Barbosa (74')
Barbosa (74')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 15
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!