Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 25, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Nublense
1 - 1
Flamengo

Henriquez (72')
Manuel Rivera Zuniga (42'), Reyes (64'), Rubio (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barbosa (34')
Sampaoli (43'), Vidal (58'), Gerson (74'), Hugo (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nublense and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nublense

Last Game: Nublense 2-1 Aucas
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, May 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Nublense win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Nublense	Draw	Flamengo
24.3% ( 1.1)	23.89% ( 0.5)	51.81% ( -1.61)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34% (

-1.08)

46.66% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.07% (

-1.02)

68.93% (

1.02)

Nublense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63% (

0.37)

33.37% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.01% (

0.41)

69.99% (

-0.41)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

-1)

18% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12% (

-1.74)

48.88% (

1.74)

Score Analysis

Nublense 24.3%

Flamengo 51.81%

Draw 23.88%

Nublense	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.3%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.88%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.81%