Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
Nublense2 - 1Aucas
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nublense and Aucas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nublense win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nublense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Aucas win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nublense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nublense | Draw | Aucas |
45.42% ( 0.23) | 25.24% ( -0.04) | 29.33% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
