MX23RW : Saturday, March 22 15:12:49| >> :60:3268:3268:
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 1
Racing

Wesley (36'), Hugo (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rojas (49')
Moreno (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Banfield
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Flamengo 2-1 Racing Club

Following Tuesday's victory, Flamengo have now gone eight consecutive games without defeat, picking up five wins and three draws. While Racing Club are also in fine form, Sampaoli's side have home advantage in their favour and we fancy them picking up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
FlamengoDrawRacing Club
54.75% (0.487 0.49) 23.03% (-0.101 -0.1) 22.21% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (0.173 0.17)16.38% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (0.314 0.31)46.01% (-0.315 -0.31)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (-0.354 -0.35)34.4% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (-0.378 -0.38)71.11% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 54.75%
    Racing Club 22.21%
    Draw 23.03%
FlamengoDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.105 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.21%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Racing

Flamengo
Draw
Racing Club
Flamengo
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Racing Club
9.1%
22
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Racing
1-1
Flamengo
Oroz (73')
Barbosa (45+3')
Dec 2, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Flamengo
1-1
Racing
Racing win 5-3 on penalties
Arao (90+3')
Caio (27'), Luis (90+5')
Caio (63')
Sigali (65')
Beccacece (61'), Mena (80'), Dominguez (87')
Nov 25, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Racing
1-1
Flamengo
Fertoli (13')
Dominguez (17')
Barbosa (15')
rhs 2.0
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