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Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
America Mineiro

Gremio
3 - 1
America Mineiro

Cavichioli (40' og.), Villasanti (61'), Suarez (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Avelar (25')
Eder (9'), Henrique (82')
Eder (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 2-1 America Mineiro

Although America Mineiro have upped their game of late, we expect Gremio to extend their unbeaten home record with a narrow victory on Thursday, as America have taken a solitary point from four away league outings this year, conceding at least two goals on each occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawAmerica Mineiro
61.92% (11.245 11.25) 22.01% (-5.556 -5.56) 16.08% (-5.689 -5.69)
Both teams to score 47.54% (6.014 6.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.45% (12.868 12.87)49.55% (-12.869 -12.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (10.466 10.47)71.57% (-10.467 -10.47)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (9.46 9.46)15.48% (-9.46 -9.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (15.216 15.22)44.36% (-15.215 -15.22)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.25% (0.922 0.92)43.75% (-0.922 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (0.752 0.75)79.91% (-0.753 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 61.91%
    America Mineiro 16.08%
    Draw 22%
GremioDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.63% (-2.84 -2.84)
2-0 @ 11.78% (1.04 1.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% (1.086 1.09)
3-0 @ 7.33% (2.356 2.36)
3-1 @ 6.06% (2.052 2.05)
4-0 @ 3.42% (1.692 1.69)
4-1 @ 2.83% (1.435 1.44)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.89 0.89)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.796 0.8)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.607 0.61)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.669 0.67)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 61.91%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-2.02 -2.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-4.359 -4.36)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.539 0.54)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-3.379 -3.38)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.706 -0.71)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-1.304 -1.3)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Gremio vs America Mineiro

Gremio
91.2%
Draw
8.8%
America Mineiro
0.0%
34
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2021 9.30pm
Gameweek 32
America Mineiro
3-1
Gremio
Azevedo (4'), Ademir (45+4' pen.), Juninho (47')
Silva (32'), Cavichioli (35'), Zarate (45+5')
Ferreira (55')
Ruan (37')
Jul 24, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 13
Gremio
1-1
America Mineiro
Alecsander Machado Guedes (7')
Henrique (63'), Mendes (90+4'), Rafinha (90+5')
Azevedo (31')
Vitor (32'), Ruschel (74'), Ramon (85')
Oct 20, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 30
America Mineiro
1-1
Gremio
Juninho (37')
Pyerre (66' pen.)
Jun 10, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 11
Gremio
1-0
America Mineiro
Everton (32')
Cicero (25'), Everton (87')

Aylon (6'), Giovanni (36'), Aderlan (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

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Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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