Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.