MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 06:34:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 21, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bahia

Flamengo
2 - 1
Bahia

Gerson (23'), Luiz (90+4')
Ortiz (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stum (35')
Lucas (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Bahia

This is shaping up to be a tricky encounter based on current form. However, despite their good spell, Bahia have not managed to win more than once away from home. Flamengo, on the other hand, have shown some vulnerability at home this season. For these reasons, we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
64.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 14.83% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)67.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)13.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)79.23% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 64.69%
    Bahia 14.83%
    Draw 20.47%
FlamengoDrawBahia
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 64.69%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.83%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Bahia

Flamengo
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Bahia
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Flamengo
1-0
Bahia
Pedro (61' pen.)
Maia (24')

Yago (60'), Rezende (61')
Kanu (49')
May 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bahia
2-3
Flamengo
Teixeira (35'), Ademir (51')
Hugo (26'), Rezende (39'), Duarte (47'), Ademir (55'), Yago (60'), Kanu (74')
Rezende (74'), Kanu (77')
Franca (23'), Barbosa (29' pen.), Luiz (45+4')
Vidal (51'), Bruno (62'), Pereira (87'), Lucas (90+4'), De Arrascaeta (90+3')
Nov 11, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 31
Flamengo
3-0
Bahia
Barbosa (32' pen.), Michael (58'), Pereira (89')
Diego (63')

Bahia (19'), Conti (30')
Bahia (42'), Rossi (63')
Jul 18, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 12
Bahia
0-5
Flamengo

Bahia (29'), Gilberto (54'), Capixaba (55'), Galdezani (60'), Edson (81')
Barbosa (23' pen., 41', 62'), Pedro (74'), Vitinho (84')
Diego (47')
Dec 20, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 26
Flamengo
4-3
Bahia
Henrique (5'), Isla (33'), Pedro (82'), Vitinho (90')
Luis (71'), Natan (87')
Barbosa (10')
Pablo Ramirez (50'), Gilberto (56', 59')
Capixaba (16'), Gilberto (47'), Rodrigoinho (89')
Danielzinho (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo32207552262667
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo32177851371458
5InternacionalInternacional321511644281656
6Sao Paulo321661045331254
7Bahia32137124240246
8Cruzeiro32128123634244
9Vasco da GamaVasco32127133646-1043
10Atletico Mineiro311011104246-441
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma32910133846-837
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3267192450-2625


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