MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:28:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Flamengo

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Flamengo

Fernandinho (90+2' pen.)
Pablo (90+7'), Madson (90+11'), Linck (90+12'), Zapelli (90+8')
Stival (90+12'), Cuca (90+10'), Pontes Moreira (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+9')
Hugo (50'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (87'), Bruno (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Gremio
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo

 Flamengo's recent form has been excellent, but Athletico Paranaense have also made a strong start to the campaign, and their home form cannot be ignored. It would not be a surprise to see a win either way here, but we believe that a tight match will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
40.3% (-0.287 -0.29) 25.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 34.16% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.51% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.271 0.27)48.4% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.248 0.25)70.54% (-0.246 -0.25)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.77% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)57.92% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.333 0.33)27.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.433 0.43)62.59% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 40.3%
    Flamengo 34.16%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
32.4%
Draw
41.2%
Flamengo
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 23
Flamengo
0-3
Athletico PR

Wesley (30'), Sampaoli (31'), Ribeiro (52')
Barbosa (67')
Caca (27'), Santana (84'), Bueno (90+7' pen.)
Moura (58'), Santana (71')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-2
Flamengo

Fernandinho (33'), Christian (50'), Roque (82'), Cuello (90+7')
Heleno (90+1')
Erick (45' og.), Barbosa (90+3')
De Arrascaeta (34'), Sampaoli (34'), Maia (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (67'), Lucas (77'), Barbosa (90+6')
Gerson (90+1')
> Preview
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-1
Athletico PR
Pedro (55' pen.), Henrique (71')
Pulgar (57'), Wesley (80')
Canobbio (6')
Bento (34'), Andrade (90+6')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
2-1
Flamengo
Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Barbosa (15' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
Final
Flamengo
1-0
Athletico PR
Barbosa (45+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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