MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 06:42:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Flamengo

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Flamengo

Fernandinho (90+2' pen.)
Pablo (90+7'), Madson (90+11'), Linck (90+12'), Zapelli (90+8')
Stival (90+12'), Cuca (90+10'), Pontes Moreira (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+9')
Hugo (50'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (87'), Bruno (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo

Flamengo's recent form has been excellent, but Athletico Paranaense have also made a strong start to the campaign, and their home form cannot be ignored. It would not be a surprise to see a win either way here, but we believe that a tight match will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
40.3% (-0.287 -0.29) 25.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 34.16% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.51% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.271 0.27)48.4% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.248 0.25)70.54% (-0.246 -0.25)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.77% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)57.92% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.333 0.33)27.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.433 0.43)62.59% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 40.3%
    Flamengo 34.16%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.16%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
32.4%
Draw
41.2%
Flamengo
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 23
Flamengo
0-3
Athletico PR

Wesley (30'), Sampaoli (31'), Ribeiro (52')
Barbosa (67')
Caca (27'), Santana (84'), Bueno (90+7' pen.)
Moura (58'), Santana (71')
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
0-2
Flamengo

Fernandinho (33'), Christian (50'), Roque (82'), Cuello (90+7')
Heleno (90+1')
Erick (45' og.), Barbosa (90+3')
De Arrascaeta (34'), Sampaoli (34'), Maia (48'), Rodrigues de Souza (67'), Lucas (77'), Barbosa (90+6')
Gerson (90+1')
Jul 6, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
2-1
Athletico PR
Pedro (55' pen.), Henrique (71')
Pulgar (57'), Wesley (80')
Canobbio (6')
Bento (34'), Andrade (90+6')
May 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
2-1
Flamengo
Roque (29'), Erick (80')
Barbosa (15' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo32207552262667
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo32177851371458
5InternacionalInternacional321511644281656
6Sao Paulo321661045331254
7Bahia32137124240246
8Cruzeiro32128123634244
9Vasco da GamaVasco32127133646-1043
10Atletico Mineiro311011104246-441
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma32910133846-837
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3267192450-2625


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