MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:38:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
3 - 1
Criciuma

Mastriani (22', 55'), Cuello (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barreto (8')
Eder (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Criciuma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 2 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Criciuma

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-5 Cuiaba
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 3-0 Criciuma

 Conceding five goals to a team that had not even registered once in their first six 2024 league matches is surely a harbinger of doom for Criciuma against a Paranaense side needing to right a few wrongs on Thursday. The hosts may have lost a couple of key players to Copa America call-ups, but as Cuca's men almost always produce the goods at home, they ought to have no trouble pulling themselves out of their rut and prolonging Criciuma's dismal sequence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 3-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCriciuma
72.69% (0.113 0.11) 17.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 10.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)43.27% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)65.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.53% (0.019000000000005 0.02)10.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.9% (0.034000000000006 0.03)34.1% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.42% (-0.176 -0.18)49.58% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.63% (-0.125 -0.13)84.37% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 72.67%
    Criciuma 10.02%
    Draw 17.3%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawCriciuma
2-0 @ 13.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.94% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.61% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 72.67%
1-1 @ 8.22% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 17.3%
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 10.02%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Criciuma

Athletico Paranaense
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Criciuma
0.0%
12
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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