Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
-0.85) 
0.47) 
