Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio3 - 2Flamengo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Flamengo |
34% ( 0.55) | 25.59% ( 0.24) | 40.41% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( -0.94) | 48.66% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.86) | 70.77% ( 0.86) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.12) | 27.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.12% ( -0.16) | 62.88% ( 0.16) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( -0.81) | 23.83% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.99% ( -1.18) | 58% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 34%
Flamengo 40.41%
Draw 25.58%
| Gremio | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.41% |
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Flamengo
1-0
Gremio
Jul 27, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Gremio
0-2
Flamengo
Nov 24, 2021 12am
Gameweek 2
Gremio
2-2
Flamengo
