Brasileiro | Gameweek 27

Oct 18, 2023 at 11pm UK

Arena do Gremio

Gremio
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
Reinaldo (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

Last Game: Internacional 3-2 Gremio
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Gremio 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

While Gremio boast the third-best home record in Serie A - winning 10 games from 13 so far - Athletico have just three away wins to their name in this year's Brasileiro. Therefore, the hosts can get back to winning ways after their derby defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
53.71% ( 0.15)	24.81% ( -0.18)	21.47% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.38% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76% (

0.7)

53.24% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2% (

0.6)

74.8% (

-0.6)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22% (

0.34)

19.78% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.16% (

0.55)

51.84% (

-0.55)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.32% (

0.43)

39.68% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.64% (

0.39)

76.36% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Gremio 53.71%

Athletico Paranaense 21.47%

Draw 24.81%

Gremio	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.71%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.47%