Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza1 - 1Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras
Friday, September 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Friday, September 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Gremio |
51.6% ( -0) | 25.48% ( 0) | 22.92% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.24% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.66% ( -0.02) | 54.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.27% ( -0.01) | 75.73% ( 0.02) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0.01) | 21.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% ( -0.01) | 53.9% ( 0.02) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% ( -0.01) | 38.88% ( 0.01) |