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Gremio
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
Flamengo

Gremio
0 - 2
Flamengo


Uvini (32'), Kannemann (51'), Ferreira (54'), Reinaldo (79')
Kannemann (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barbosa (34'), Alves (68' og.)
Pereira (33'), Wesley (35'), Rodrigues de Souza (85')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Gremio and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawFlamengo
47.58% (2.294 2.29) 25.25% (-0.375 -0.38) 27.16% (-1.924 -1.92)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.426 0.43)50.16% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.377 0.38)72.12% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (1.202 1.2)21.1% (-1.207 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (1.84 1.84)53.92% (-1.845 -1.85)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-1.237 -1.24)32.9% (1.23 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-1.398 -1.4)69.47% (1.392 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 47.58%
    Flamengo 27.16%
    Draw 25.25%
GremioDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.273 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.382 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.17 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.203 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.58%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.405 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.16%

How you voted: Gremio vs Flamengo

Gremio
Draw
Flamengo
Gremio
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
Flamengo
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Flamengo
3-0
Gremio
Everton (24'), Pedro (65'), Henrique (90+6')

Kannemann (55'), Suarez (81'), Uvini (87')
Nov 24, 2021 12am
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Flamengo
0-1
Gremio

Isla (62'), Henrique (84'), Caio (90+3')
Borja (45+3')
Borja (41'), Thiago (47'), Vanderson (70'), Ferreira (85')
Jan 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 23
Gremio
2-4
Flamengo
Souza (40', 85')
Souza (19'), Barbosa (46'), Kannemann (71'), Henrique (87'), Pinares (90+7')
Ribeiro (57'), Barbosa (60'), De Arrascaeta (66'), Isla (90+3')
Henrique (26'), Henrique (55'), Vitinho (90+7')
Aug 19, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 4
Flamengo
1-1
Gremio
Barbosa (89' pen.)
Luis (34'), Barbosa (34'), Lucas (52')
Pepe (45')
Souza (7'), Kannemann (86'), Geromel (87')
rhs 2.0
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