Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
0 - 0
Flamengo

Ganso (14'), Melo (14'), Rangel (22'), Cano (37'), Andre (45+2'), Sampaoli (59'), Lima (85'), Kennedy (90+10')

Ribeiro (27'), Maia (50'), Diniz (72'), Luiz Inacio da Silva (81'), Barbosa (90'), Luis (90+11')
Araujo (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Rio rivals Fluminense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Internacional
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fluminense 1-1 Flamengo

As Fluminense are unbeaten at home in this year's Brasileiro, having conceded just four times in seven games, even free-scoring Flamengo will find it tough to break down such a well-organised and motivated side. While Fla boast the league's best attack - scoring at a rate of nearly two goals per game - they may ultimately have to settle for a derby draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Flamengo
45.48% ( 0.01)	26.26% ( 0)	28.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

-0.01)

53.53% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

-0)

75.05% (

0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

23.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.5% (

57.5% (

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

-0.01)

33.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

-0.01)

70.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 45.47%

Flamengo 28.26%

Draw 26.25%

Fluminense	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.47%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.26%