Brasileiro | Gameweek 12

Jun 25, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
2 - 3
Flamengo

Mendoza (40'), Fernandez (52')
Pires (39'), Dias (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Everton (22'), Ribeiro (50'), Pulgar (57')
Pulgar (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Santos 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, June 22 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Flamengo
Friday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

For all their woes, Santos have kept clean sheets in half their league fixtures at home this season. However, without their fans behind them at Vila Belmiro - and with an interim coach in charge - they are susceptible to defeat by a Flamengo side fired up after an embarrassing setback in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Flamengo
31.59% ( -0.36)	27.65% ( -0.15)	40.76% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 48.12% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.48% (

0.46)

57.52% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.69% (

0.36)

78.31% (

-0.36)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

-0.01)

33.45% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

-0.01)

70.08% (

0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

0.5)

27.7% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

0.64)

63.25% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Santos 31.58%

Flamengo 40.76%

Draw 27.64%

Santos	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.58%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.76%